Infectious Disease Forecasting People, Projects and Publications Working on Infectious Disease Forecasting People Alison Hill Assistant Professor, Department of Biomedical Engineering Shaun Truelove Assistant Scientist, Departments of Epidemiology and International Health Lauren Gardner Alton and Sandra Cleveland Professor, Department of Civil and Systems Engineering Claire Smith PhD Candidate, Department of Epidemiology Anjalika Nande Postdoctoral Fellow, Institute for Computational Medicine Anisha Oommen PhD Candidate, Department of Biomedical Engineering Max Marshall PhD Candidate, Center for Systems Science and Engineering Naomi Rankin PhD Candidate, Department of Civil and Systems Engineering Kristen Nixon PhD Candidate, Department of Civil and Systems Engineering Samee Saiyed PhD Candidate, Department of Civil and Systems Engineering Projects Multi-Pathogen Scenario Modeling and Forecasting Integrating multiple models for short-term forecasts and longer-term scenario projections of multiple pathogens. HCV/HIV Modeling in People Who Inject Drugs (PWID) Through this project, we aim to characterize PWID networks in the Baltimore Metropolitan Area to identify risk factors for HIV and HCV transmission in this population and understand how interventions and behavioral changes might impact transmission. Modeling Dynamic Disease-Behavior Feedbacks Integrating models of human behavior and decision making during epidemics into infectious disease transmission models. Publications January 2023 Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study Borchering RK, et al. Lancet Reg Health Am Publication September 2022 Real-time COVID-19 forecasting: challenges and opportunities of model performance and translation Nixon K, et al. Lancet Digit Health Publication July 2022 The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset Cramer EY, et al. Sci Data Publication June 2022 Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination Truelove S, et al. Elife Publication April 2022 Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States Cramer EY, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Publication May 2021 Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021 Borchering RK, et al. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep Publication April 2021 A scenario modeling pipeline for COVID-19 emergency planning Lemaitre JC, et al. Sci Rep Publication December 2020 Development and dissemination of infectious disease dynamic transmission models during the COVID-19 pandemic: what can we learn from other pathogens and how can we move forward? Lancet Digit Health Publication August 2018 Insight into treatment of HIV infection from viral dynamics models Hill AL, et al. Immunol Rev Publication May 2018 Near real-time forecasting for cholera decision making in Haiti after Hurricane Matthew Pasetto D, et al. PLoS Comput Biol Publication View all research themes
Multi-Pathogen Scenario Modeling and Forecasting Integrating multiple models for short-term forecasts and longer-term scenario projections of multiple pathogens.
HCV/HIV Modeling in People Who Inject Drugs (PWID) Through this project, we aim to characterize PWID networks in the Baltimore Metropolitan Area to identify risk factors for HIV and HCV transmission in this population and understand how interventions and behavioral changes might impact transmission.
Modeling Dynamic Disease-Behavior Feedbacks Integrating models of human behavior and decision making during epidemics into infectious disease transmission models.
January 2023 Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study Borchering RK, et al. Lancet Reg Health Am Publication
September 2022 Real-time COVID-19 forecasting: challenges and opportunities of model performance and translation Nixon K, et al. Lancet Digit Health Publication
June 2022 Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination Truelove S, et al. Elife Publication
April 2022 Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States Cramer EY, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Publication
May 2021 Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021 Borchering RK, et al. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep Publication
April 2021 A scenario modeling pipeline for COVID-19 emergency planning Lemaitre JC, et al. Sci Rep Publication
December 2020 Development and dissemination of infectious disease dynamic transmission models during the COVID-19 pandemic: what can we learn from other pathogens and how can we move forward? Lancet Digit Health Publication
August 2018 Insight into treatment of HIV infection from viral dynamics models Hill AL, et al. Immunol Rev Publication
May 2018 Near real-time forecasting for cholera decision making in Haiti after Hurricane Matthew Pasetto D, et al. PLoS Comput Biol Publication
