Halloran ME, Auranen K, Baird S, Basta NE, Bellan SE, Brookmeyer R, Cooper BS, DeGruttola V, Hughes JP, Lessler J, Lofgren ET, Longini IM, Onnela JP, Özler B, Seage GR, Smith TA, Vespignani A, Vynnycky E, Lipsitch M.

Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases.

BMC Med, 2017; 15(1): 223. 10.1186/s12916-017-0985-3
Keegan LT, Lessler J, Johansson MA.

Quantifying Zika: Advancing the Epidemiology of Zika With Quantitative Models.

J Infect Dis, 2017; 216(suppl_10): S884-S890. 10.1093/infdis/jix437
Grabowski MK, Serwadda DM, Gray RH, Nakigozi G, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Lessler J, Lutalo T, Galiwango RM, Makumbi F, Kong X, Kabatesi D, Alamo ST, Wiersma S, Sewankambo NK, Tobian AAR, Laeyendecker O, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Chang LW; Rakai Health Sciences Program.

HIV Prevention Efforts and Incidence of HIV in Uganda

N Engl J Med., 2017; 377(22): 2154-2166.. 10.1056/NEJMoa1702150
Grabowski MK, Reynolds S, Kagaayi J, Gray R, Clarke W, Chang L, Nakigozi G, Laeyndecker O, Redd A, Goud-Billoux V, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Wawer M, Serwadda D, Quinn T, Tobian A.

The validity of self-reported antiretroviral use in persons living with HIV: a population-based study.

AIDS, 2017; : . 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001706.
von Seidlein L, Sack D, Azman AS, Ivers LC, Lopez AL, Deen JL.

Cholera outbreak in Yemen.

Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol., 2017; 2(11): 777. 10.1016/S2468-1253(17)30287-X
Blanquart F, Wymant C, Cornelissen M, Gall A, Bakker M, Bezemer D, Hall M, Hillebregt M, Ong SH, Albert J, Bannert N, Fellay J, Fransen K, Gourlay AJ, Grabowski MK, Gunsenheimer-Bartmeyer B, Günthard HF, Kivelä P, Kouyos R, Laeyendecker O, Liitsola K, Meyer L, Porter K, van Sighem MRA, Vanham G, Berkhout B, Kellam P, Reiss P, Fraser C, BEEHIVE collaboration.

Viral genetic variation accounts for a third of variability in HIV-1 set-point viral load in Europe.

PLoS Biol, 2017; 15(7): e1002608. 10.1371/journal.pbio.2001855
Shanta IS, Hasnat MA, Zeidner N, Gurley ES, Azziz‐Baumgartner E, Sharker MAY, Hossain K, Khan SU, Haider N, Bhuyan AA, Hossain MA, Luby SP.

Raising backyard poultry in rural Bangladesh: Financial and nutritional benefits, but persistent risky practices.

Transbound Emerg Dis, 2017; 64(5): 1454-1464. 10.1111/tbed.12536
Nahar N, Paul RC, Sultana R, Sumon SA, Banik KC, Abedin J, Asaduzzaman M, Garcia F, Zimicki S, Rahman M, Gurley ES, Luby SP.

A controlled trial to reduce the risk of human Nipah virus exposure in Bangladesh.

EcoHealth, 2017; : 1-17. 10.1007/s10393-017-1267-4
Islam MS, Sharif AR, Sazzad HMS, Dawlat Khan AKM , Hasan M, Akter S, Rahman M, Luby SP, Heffelfinger JD, Gurley ES.

Outbreak of Sudden Death with Acute Encephalitis Syndrome Among Children Associated with Exposure to Lychee Orchards in Northern Bangladesh, 2012.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2017; 97(3): 949-957. 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0856
Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Johansson MA, Reich NG.

Infectious disease prediction with kernel conditional density estimation.

Stat Med, 2017; : . 10.1002/sim.7488
Gurley ES, Hegde ST, Hossain K, Sazzad HMS, Hossain MJ, Rahman M, Sharker MAY, Salje H, Islam MS, Epstein JH, Khan SU, Kilpatrick AM, Daszak P, Luby SP.

Convergence of Humans, Bats, Trees, and Culture in Nipah Virus Transmission, Bangladesh.

Emerg Infect Dis, 2017; 23(9): 1446-53. 10.3201/eid2309.161922
Metcalf CJE, Lessler J.

Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases.

Science, 2017; 157(6347): 149-152. 10.1126/science.aam8335
Bi Q, Ferraras E, Pezzoli L, Legros D, Ivers LC, Date K, Qadri F, Digilio L, Sack DA, Ali M, Lessler J, Luquero FJ, Azman AS.

Protection against cholera from killed whole-cell oral cholera vaccines: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Lancet Infect Dis, 2017; : . 10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30359-6
Parkler LA, Rumunu J, Jamet C, Kenyi Y, Lino RL, Wamala JF, Mpairwe AM, Muller V, Llosa AE, Uzzeni F, Luquero FJ, Cignlenecki I, Azman AS.

Neighborhood-targeted and case-triggered use of a single dose of oral cholera vaccine in an urban setting: Feasibility and vaccine coverage.

PLOS Negl Trop Dis, 2017; : . 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005652
Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TG, Goodermorte R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Peters DH.

Impact of interventions and the incidence of Ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics.

Health Policy Plan, 2017; 32(4): 602. 10.1093/heapol/czw163
Blanquart F, Wymant C, Cornelissen M, Gall A, Bakker M, Bezemer D, Hall M, Hillebregt M, Ong SH, Albert J, Bannert N, Fellay J, Fransen K, Gourlay AJ, Grabowski MK, Gunsenheimer-Bartmeyer B, Günthard HF, Kivelä P, Kouyos R, Laeyendecker O, Liitsola K, Meyer L, Porter K, Ristola M, van Sighem A, Vanham G, Berkhout B, Kellam P, Reiss P, Fraser C, Beehive Collaboration.

Viral genetic variation accounts for a third of variability in HIV-1 set-point viral load in Europe.

PLoS Biol, 2017; 15(6): e2001855. 10.1371/journal.pbio.2001855
Ratmann O, Wymant C, Colijn C, Danaviah S, Essex M, Frost SDW, Gall A, Gaiseitsiwe S, Grabowski M, Gray R, Guindon S, von Haeseler A, Kaleebu P, Kendall M, Kozlov A, Manasa J, Minh BQ, Moyo S, Novitsky V, Nsubuga R, Pillay S, Quinn TC, Serwadda D, Ssemwanga D, Stamatakis A, Trifinopoulos J, Wawer M, Leigh Brown A, de Oliveira T, Kellam P, Pillay D, Fraser C.

HIV-1 full-genome phylogenetics of generalized epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: impact of missing nucleotide characters in next-generation sequences.

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2017; : . 10.1089/AID.2017.0061
Billioux VG, Chang LW, Reynolds SJ, Nakigozi G, Ssekasanvu J, Grabowski MK, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Serwadda D, Gray RH, Wawer MJ.

Human immunodeficiency virus care cascade among sub-populations in Rakai, Uganda: an observational study.

J Int AIDS Soc, 2017; 20(1): 1-9. 10.7448/IAS.20.1.21590
Fojo AT, Stennis NL, Azman AS, Kendall EA, Shrestha S, Ahuja SD, Dowdy DW.

Current and future trends in tuberculosis incidence in New York City: a dynamic modelling analysis.

Lancet Public Health, 2017; 2(7): e323-e330. 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30119-6
Pierce R, Bryant K, Elward A, Lessler J, Milstone AM.

Bacterial Infections in Neonates Following Mupirocin-Based MRSA Decolonization: A Multicenter Cohort Study.

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol, 2017; 38(8): 930 – 9. 10.1017/ice.2017.108
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J.

The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region.

Nat Commun, 2017; 8: 15585. 10.1038/ncomms15585.
Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TG, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cumings DAT, Peters DH.

Impact of interventions and the incidence of Ebola virus disease in Liberia- implications for future epidemics.

Health Policy Plan, 2017; 32(4): 602. doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czw163
Lessler J, Azman AS, McKay HS, Moore SM.

What is a Hotspot Anyway?

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2017; 96(6): 1270-73. 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0427
Azman AS, Bouhenia M, Ayer AS, Rumunu J, Laku RL, Wamala JF, Rodriguez Barraquer I, Lessler J, Gignoux E, Luquero FJ, Leung DT, Gurley ES, Ciglenecki I.

High Hepatitis E Seroprevalence Among Displaced Persons in South Sudan.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2017; 96(6): 1296-1301. 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0620
Moore SM, Azman AS, Zaitchik BF, Mintz ED, Brunkard J, Legros D, Hill A, McKay H, Luquero FJ, Olson D, Lessler J.

El Niño and the shifting geography of cholera in Africa.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2017; 114(17): 4436-41. 10.1073/pnas.1617218114
Arthur RF, Gurley ES, Salje H, Bloomfield LSP, Jones JH.

Contact structure, mobility, environmental impact and behaviour: the importance of social forces to infectious disease dynamics and disease ecology.

Phil Trans R Soc B, 2017; 372(1719): 20160454. 10.1098/rstb.2016.0454
Kendall EA, Azman AS, Cobelens FG, Dowdy DW.

MDR-TB treatment as prevention: The projected population-level impact of expanded treatment for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

PLoS One, 2017; 12(3): e0172748. 10.1371/journal.pone.0172748
Salje H, Lessler J, Berry IM, Melendrez MC, Endy T, Kalayanarooj S, Atchareeya A, Chanama S, Sangkijporn S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Gibbons RV, Iamsirithaworn S, Macareo LR, Yoon IK, Sangarsang A, Jarman RG, Cummings DAT.

Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size.

Science, 2017; 355(6331): 1302-06. 10.1126/science.aaj9384
Faruque LI, Zaman RU, Gurley ES, Massung RF, Alamgir ASM, Galloway RL, Powers AM, Bai Y, Kosoy M, Nicholson WL, Rahman M, Luby SP.

Prevalence and clinical presentation of Rickettsia, Coxiella, Leptospira, Bartonella and chikungunya virus infections among hospital-based febrile patients from December 2008 to November 2009 in Bangladesh.

BMC Infect Dis, 2017; 17(141): . 10.1186/s12879-017-2239-6
Satter SM, Gastanaduy PA, Islam K, Rahman M, Rahman M, Luby SP, Heffelfinger JD, Parashar UD, Gurley ES.

Hospital-based Surveillance for Rotavirus Gastroenteritis Among Young Children in Bangladesh: Defining the Potential Impact of a Rotavirus Vaccine Program

Pediatr Infect Dis J, 2017; 36(2): 168-72. 10.1097/INF.0000000000001381
Schlusser KE, Konikoff J, Kirkpatrick AR, Morrison C, Chipato T, Chen PL, Munjoma M, Eshleman SH, Laeyendecker O.

Comparison of Maxim and Sedia Limiting Antigen Assay Performance for Measuring HIV Incidence

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2017; : . doi:10.1089/AID.2016.0245.
Prada JM, Metcalf CJE, Takahashi S, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Ferrari M.

Demographics, epidemiology and the impact of vaccination campaigns in a measles-free world–Can elimination be maintained?

Vaccine, 2017; 35(11): 1488-93. 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.02.008
Nikolay B, Salje H, Sturm-Ramirez K, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Homaira N, Makhdum M, Iuliano AD, Paul RC, Rahman M, Hossain MJ, Luby SP, Cauchemez S, Gurley ES.

Evaluating Hospital-Based Surveillance for Outbreak Detection in Bangladesh: Analysis of Healthcare Utilization Data.

PLoS Med, 2017; 14(1): e1002218. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002218
Chen I, Chau G, Wang J, Clarke W, Marzinke MA, Cummings V, Breaud A, Laeyendecker O, Fields SD, Griffith S, Scott HM, Shoptaw S, Del Rio C, Magnus M, Mannheimer S, Tieu HV, Wheeler DP, Mayer KH, Koblin BA, Eshleman SH.

Analysis of HIV Diversity in HIV-Infected Black Men Who Have Sex with Men (HPTN 061).

PLoS One, 2017; 11(12): e0167629. 10.1371/journal.pone.0167629
Walker-Sperling VE, Pohlmeyer CW, Veenhuis RT, May M, Luna KA, Kirkpatrick AR, Laeyendecker O, Cox AL, Carrington M, Bailey JR, Arduino RC, Blankson JN.

Factors Associated With the Control of Viral Replication and Virologic Breakthrough in a Recently Infected HIV-1 Controller.

EBioMedicine, 2017; pii: S2352-3964(17): 30038-5. 10.1016/j.ebiom.2017.01.034
Ali M, Nelson A, Luquero FJ, Azman AS, Debes AK, M’bang’ombe MM, Seyama L, Kachale E, Zuze K, Malichi D, Zulu F, Msyamboza KP, Kabuluzi S, Sack DA.

Safety of a killed oral cholera vaccine (Shanchol) in pregnant women in Malawi: an observational cohort study.

Lancet Infect Dis, 2017; : . 10.1016/ S1473-3099(16)30523-0
Parker LA, Rumunu J, Jamet C, Kenyi Y, Lino RL, Wamala JF, Mpairwe AM, Ciglenecki I, Luquero FJ, Azman AS, Cabrol JC.

Adapting to the global shortage of cholera vaccines: targeted single dose cholera vaccine in response to an outbreak in South Sudan.

Lancet Infect Dis, 2017; : . 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30472-8
Patel EU, Gianella S, Newell K, Tobian AAR Kirkpatrick AR, Nalugoda F, Grabowski MK, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Quinn T, Redd AD, Reynolds SJ.

Elevated cytomegalovirus IgG antibody levels are associated with HIV-1 disease progression and immune activation.

AIDS, 2017; : . 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001412
Mahiané SG, Laeyendecker O.

Segmented polynomials for incidence rate estimation from prevalence data.

Stat Med. , 2017; 36(2): 334-344. 10.1002/sim.7130
Bui C, Bethmont A, Chughtai AA, Gardner L, Sarkar S, Hassan S, Seale H, MacIntyre CR.

A Systematic Review of the Comparative Epidemiology of Avian and Human Influenza A H5N1 and H7N9 - Lessons and Unanswered Questions.

Transbound Emerg Dis, 2016; 63(6): 602-620. 10.1111/tbed.12327

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