Publications

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA.

Case Study in Evaluating Time Series Prediction Models Using the Relative Mean Absolute Error.

Am Stat, 2016; 70(3): 285-292. 10.1080/00031305.2016.1148631

Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, Ferguson NM, Burke DS, Grenfell BT.

Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease.

Lancet, 2016; : . 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30164-7

Goodman KE, Lessler J, Cosgrove SE, Harris AD, Lautenbach E, Han JH, Milstone AM, Masey C, Tamma PD; Antibacterial Resistance Leadership Group.

A Clinical Decision Tree to Predict Whether a Bacteremic Patient is Infected With an ESBL-Producing Organism.

Clin Infect Dis, 2016; : . 10.1093/cid/ciw425

Grabowski MK, Kong X, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Kigozi G, Gravitt PE, Nalugoda F, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Redd AD, Watya S, Quinn TC, Tobian AA.

Partner Human Papillomavirus Viral Load and Incident Human Papillomavirus Detection in Heterosexual Couples.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 948-56. 10.1093/infdis/jiv541

Horwood PF, Andronico A, Tarantola A, Salje H, Duong V, Mey C, Ly S, Dussart P, Cauchemez S, Buchy P.

Seroepidemiology of Human Enterovirus 71 Infection among Children, Cambodia.

Emerg Infect Dis, 2016; 22: 92-5. 10.3201/eid2201.151323

Cauchemez S, Besnard M, Bompard P, Dub T, Guillemette-Artur P, Eyrolle-Guignot D, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Abadie V, Garel C, Fontanet A, Mallet HP.

Association between Zika virus and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013-15: a retrospective study.

Lancet, 2016; 387: 2125-32. 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00651-6

Morales I, Salje H, Saha S, Gurley ES.

Seasonal Distribution and Climatic Correlates of Dengue Disease in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 94: 1359-61. 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0846

Gignoux E, Azman AS, de Smet M, Azuma P, Massaquoi M, Job D, Tiffany A, Petrucci R, Sterk E, Potet J, Suzuki M, Kurth A, Cannas A, Bocquin A, Strecker T, Logue C, Pottage T, Yue C, Cabrol JC, Serafini M, Ciglenecki I.

Effect of Artesunate-Amodiaquine on Mortality Related to Ebola Virus Disease.

N Engl J Med, 2016; 374: 23-32. 10.1056/NEJMoa1504605

Azman AS, Ivers LC, Legros D, Luquero FJ, Mintz ED.

Safe water, sanitation, hygiene, and a cholera vaccine.

Lancet, 2016; 387: 28. 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)01294-5

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J.

Correction: The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study.

PLoS Med, 2016; 13: e1001989. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001989

Rashid MU, Almeida M, Azman AS, Lindsay BR, Sack DA, Colwell RR, Huq A, Morris JG Jr, Alam M, Stine OC.

Comparison of inferred relatedness based on multilocus variable-number tandem-repeat analysis and whole genome sequencing of Vibrio cholerae O1.

FEMS Microbiol Lett, 2016; 363: . 10.1093/femsle/fnw116

Shah M, Risher K, Berry SA, Dowdy DW.

The Epidemiologic and Economic Impact of Improving HIV Testing, Linkage, and Retention in Care in the United States.

Clin Infect Dis, 2016; 62: 220-9. 10.1093/cid/civ801

Shah M, Perry A, Risher K, Kapoor S, Grey J, Sharma A, Rosenberg ES, Del Rio C, Sullivan P, Dowdy DW.

Effect of the US National HIV/AIDS Strategy targets for improved HIV care engagement: a modelling study.

Lancet HIV, 2016; 3: e140-6. 10.1016/S2352-3018(16)00007-2

Lamers SL, Barbier A, Ratmann O, Fraser C, Rose R, Laeyendecker O, Grabowski M.

HIV-1 Sequence Data Coverage in Central East Africa from 1959-2013.

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2016; 32(9): 904-908. 10.1089/AID.2016.0079

Salje H, Cauchemez S, Alera MT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, Lago CB, Villa D, Klungthong C, Tac-An IA, Fernandez S, Velasco JM, Roque VG Jr, Nisalak A, Macareo LR, Levy JW, Cummings D, Yoon IK.

Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 604-10. 10.1093/infdis/jiv470

Clapham HE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Azman AS, Althouse BM, Salje H, Gibbons RV, Rothman AL, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Kalayanarooj S, Nimmannitya S, Vaughn DW, Green S, Yoon IK, Cummings DA.

Dengue Virus DENV Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 1428-35. 10.1093/infdis/jiv759

Chadsuthi S, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Cummings DA.

The impact of rainfall and temperature on the spatial progression of cases during the chikungunya re-emergence in Thailand in 2008-2009.

Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 110: 125-33. 10.1093/trstmh/trv114

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA; MERS-CoV Scenario and Modeling Working Group.

Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 657-63. 10.1093/aje/kwv452

Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA.

Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study.

Int J Epidemiol, 2016; : . 10.1093/ije/dyv353

Lessler J, Cummings DA.

Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health.

Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 415-22. 10.1093/aje/kww021

Guclu H, Read J, Vukotich CJ Jr, Galloway DD, Gao H, Rainey JJ, Uzicanin A, Zimmer SM, Cummings DA.

Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA.

PLoS One, 2016; 11: e0151139. 10.1371/journal.pone.0151139

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK.

Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 94: 1342-7. 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0337

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA.

Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology.

PLoS One, 2016; 11: e0155249. 10.1371/journal.pone.0155249

Radonovich LJ Jr, Bessesen MT, Cummings DA, Eagan A, Gaydos C, Gibert C, Gorse GJ, Nyquist AC, Reich NG, Rodrigues-Barradas M, Savor-Price C, Shaffer RE, Simberkoff MS, Perl TM.

The Respiratory Protection Effectiveness Clinical Trial ResPECT: a cluster-randomized comparison of respirator and medical mask effectiveness against respiratory infections in healthcare personnel.

BMC Infect Dis, 2016; 16: 243. 10.1186/s12879-016-1494-2

Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J.

Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2016; 10: e0004761. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004761

Longosz AF, Morrison CS, Chen PL, Brand HH, Arts E, Nankya I, Salata RA, Quinn TC, Eshleman SH, Laeyendecker O.

Comparison of antibody responses to HIV infection in Ugandan women infected with HIV subtypes A and D.

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2015; 31(4): 421-427. 10.1089/AID.2014.0081

Laeyendecker O, Redd AD, Nason M, Longosz AF, Karim QA, Naranbhai V, Garrett N, Eshleman SH, Abdool Karim SS, Quinn TC.

Antibody Maturation in Women Who Acquire HIV Infection While Using Antiretroviral Preexposure Prophylaxis.

J Infect Dis, 2015; 212(5): 754-759. 10.1093/infdis/jiv110

Lucas GM, Solomon SS, Srikrishnan AK, Agrawal A, Iqbal S, Laeyendecker O, McFall AM, Kumar MS, Ogburn EL, Celentano DD, Solomon S, Mehta SH.

High HIV burden among people who inject drugs in 15 Indian cities.

AIDS, 2015; 29(5): 619-628. 10.1097/QAD.0000000000000592

Solomon SS, Mehta SH, Srikrishnan AK, Vasudevan CK, Mcfall AM, Balakrishnan P, Anand S, Nandagopal P, Ogburn EL, Laeyendecker O, Lucas GM, Solomon S, Celentano DD.

High HIV prevalence and incidence among MSM across 12 cities in India.

AIDS, 2015; 29(6): 723-731. 10.1097/QAD.0000000000000602

Yu L, Laeyendecker O, Wendel SK, Liang F, Liu W, Wang X, Wang L, Pang X, Fang Z.

Short Communication: Low False Recent Rate of Limiting-Antigen Avidity Assay Among Long-Term Infected Subjects from Guangxi, China.

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2015; 31(12): 1247-1249. 10.1089/aid.2015.0097

Ostrowski M, Benko E, Yue FY, Kim CJ, Huibner S, Lee T, Singer J, Pankovich J, Laeyendecker O, Kaul R, Kandel G, Kovacs C.

Intensifying Antiretroviral Therapy With Raltegravir and Maraviroc During Early Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Infection Does Not Accelerate HIV Reservoir Reduction.

Open Forum Infect Dis, 2015; 2(4): ofv138. 10.1093/ofid/ofv138.

Chen I, Connor MB, Clarke W, Marzinke MA, Cummings V, Breaud A, Fogel JM, Laeyendecker O, Fields SD, Donnell D, Griffith S, Scott HM, Shoptaw S, del Rio C, Magnus M, Mannheimer S, Wheeler DP, Mayer KH, Koblin BA, Eshleman SH.

Antiretroviral Drug Use and HIV Drug Resistance Among HIV-Infected Black Men Who Have Sex With Men: HIV Prevention Trials Network 061.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr, 2015; 69(4): 446-52. 10.1097/QAI.0000000000000633

Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJE, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjornstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee CO.

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2015; 112(35): 11114–1111. 10.1073/pnas.1423542112

Metcalf CJ, Tatem A, Bjornstad ON, Lessler J, O'Reilly K, Takahashi S, Cutts F, Grenfell BT.

Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa.

Epidemiol Infect, 2015; 143: 1457-66. 10.1017/S0950268814001988

Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C; et al.

Expanding the statistical toolbox: analytic approaches for cohort studies with healthcare-associated infectious outcomes.

Curr Opin Infect Dis, 2015; 28: 384-91. 10.1097/QCO.0000000000000179

Grabowski MK, Kigozi G, Gray RH, Armour B, Manucci J, Serwadda D, Redd AD, Nalugoda F, Patel EU, Wawer MJ, Quinn TC, Tobian AA.

Herpes Simplex [corrected] Virus Type 2 Shedding From Male Circumcision Wounds in Rakai, Uganda.

J Infect Dis, 2015; 212: 1613-7. 10.1093/infdis/jiv259

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