Pierce R, Lessler J, Popoola VO, Milstone AM.

MRSA acquisition risk in an endemic NICU setting with an active surveillance culture and decolonization program.

J Hosp Infect, 2016; : . 10.1016/j.jhin.2016.10.022
Debes AK, Ali M, Azman AS, Yunus M, Sack DA.

Cholera cases cluster in time and space in Matlab, Bangladesh: implications for targeted preventive interventions.

Int J Epidemiol, 2016; : dyw267. 10.1093/ije/dyw267
Blanquart F, Grabowski MK, Herbeck J, Nalugoda F, Serwadda D, Eller MA, Robb ML, Gray R, Kigozi G, Laeyendecker O, Lythgoe KA, Nakigozi G, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Fraser C.

A transmission-virulence evolutionary trade-off explains attenuation of HIV-1 in Uganda.

Elife, 2016; 5: e20492. 10.7554/eLife.20492
Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DAT.

Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016; : . 10.1073/pnas.1612838113
Salje H, Lessler J, Kishor KP, Azman AS, Rahman MW, Rahman M, Cummings DAT, Gurley ES, Cauchemez S.

How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016; : . 10.1073/pnas.1611391113
Johansson MA, Reich NG, Hota A, Brownstein JS, Santillana M.

Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico.

Scientific Reports , 2016; 6: 33707. 10.1038/srep33707
Ferguson NM, Cucunubá ZM, Dorigatti I, Nedjati-Gilani GL, Donnelly CA, Basáñez MG, Nouvellet P, Lessler J.

Countering the Zika epidemic in Latin America

Science, 2016; 353(6297): 353-354. 10.1126/science.aag0219
Lessler J, Azman AS, Grabowski MK, Salje H, Rodriguez-Barraquer I.

Trends in the Mechanistic and Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases.

Curr Epidemiol Rep, 2016; 3(3): 212-222. 10.1007/s40471-016-0078-4
Truelove S, Zhu H, Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DAT.

A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses, 2016; 10(6): 518-524. 10.1111/irv.12408
Azman AS, Parker LA, Rumunu J, Tadesse F, Grandesso F, Deng LL, Lino RL, Bior BK, Lasuba M, Page AL, Ontweka L, Llosa AE, Cohuet S, Pezzoli L, Sodjinou DV, Abubakar A, Debes AK, Mpairwe AM, Wamala JF, Jamet C, Lessler J, Sack DA, Quilici ML, Ciglenecki I, Luquero FJ.

Effectiveness of one dose of oral cholera vaccine in response to an outbreak: a case-cohort study.

Lancet Glob Health, 2016; 4(11): e856–e863. 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30211-X
Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J.

Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases.

Epidemics, 2016; 17: 10-18. 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.10.001
Lessler J, Metcalf CJE, Cutts FT, Grenfell BT.

Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study.

PLoS Med, 2016; 13(10): e1002144: . 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002144
Bi Q, Azman AS, Satter SM, Khan AI, Ahmed D, Riaj AA, Gurley ES, Lessler J.

Micro-scale Spatial Clustering of Cholera Risk Factors in Urban Bangladesh.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2016; 10(2): e0004400.: . 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004400
Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Lessler J, Cummings DAT.

Predicting intensities of Zika infection and microcephaly using transmission intensities of other arboviruses.

bioRxivorg, 2016; 041095: . 10.1101/041095
Chang LW, Grabowski MK, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Nantume B, Lessler J, Moore S, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ.

Heterogeneity of the HIV epidemic in agrarian, trading, and fishing communities in Rakai, Uganda: an observational epidemiological study.

Lancet HIV, 2016; 3: e388–96: . 10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30034-0
Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I.

Assessing the global threat from Zika virus.

Science, 2016; 353(6300): . 10.1126/science.aaf8160
Cauchmez S, Nouvellet P, Cori A, Jombart T, Garske T, Clapham H, Moore S, Mills HL, Salje H, Collins C, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Riley S, Truelove S, Algarni H, Alhakeem R, AlHarbi K, Turkistani A, Aguas RJ, Cummings DAT, Van Kerkhove MD, Donnelly CA, Lessler J, Fraser C, Al-Barrak A, Ferguson NM.

Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016; 113:32: 9081–9086. 10.1073/pnas.1519235113
Azman AS, Luquero FJ.

Single-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine in Bangladesh.

N Engl J Med, 2016; 375:e12: . 10.1056/NEJMc1607285
Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA.

Case Study in Evaluating Time Series Prediction Models Using the Relative Mean Absolute Error.

Am Stat, 2016; 70(3): 285-292. 10.1080/00031305.2016.1148631
Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, Ferguson NM, Burke DS, Grenfell BT.

Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease.

Lancet, 2016; : . 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30164-7
Goodman KE, Lessler J, Cosgrove SE, Harris AD, Lautenbach E, Han JH, Milstone AM, Masey C, Tamma PD; Antibacterial Resistance Leadership Group.

A Clinical Decision Tree to Predict Whether a Bacteremic Patient is Infected With an ESBL-Producing Organism.

Clin Infect Dis, 2016; : . 10.1093/cid/ciw425
Grabowski MK, Kong X, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Kigozi G, Gravitt PE, Nalugoda F, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Redd AD, Watya S, Quinn TC, Tobian AA.

Partner Human Papillomavirus Viral Load and Incident Human Papillomavirus Detection in Heterosexual Couples.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 948-56. 10.1093/infdis/jiv541
Horwood PF, Andronico A, Tarantola A, Salje H, Duong V, Mey C, Ly S, Dussart P, Cauchemez S, Buchy P.

Seroepidemiology of Human Enterovirus 71 Infection among Children, Cambodia.

Emerg Infect Dis, 2016; 22: 92-5. 10.3201/eid2201.151323
Cauchemez S, Besnard M, Bompard P, Dub T, Guillemette-Artur P, Eyrolle-Guignot D, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Abadie V, Garel C, Fontanet A, Mallet HP.

Association between Zika virus and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013-15: a retrospective study.

Lancet, 2016; 387: 2125-32. 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00651-6
Morales I, Salje H, Saha S, Gurley ES.

Seasonal Distribution and Climatic Correlates of Dengue Disease in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 94: 1359-61. 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0846
Gignoux E, Azman AS, de Smet M, Azuma P, Massaquoi M, Job D, Tiffany A, Petrucci R, Sterk E, Potet J, Suzuki M, Kurth A, Cannas A, Bocquin A, Strecker T, Logue C, Pottage T, Yue C, Cabrol JC, Serafini M, Ciglenecki I.

Effect of Artesunate-Amodiaquine on Mortality Related to Ebola Virus Disease.

N Engl J Med, 2016; 374: 23-32. 10.1056/NEJMoa1504605
Azman AS, Ivers LC, Legros D, Luquero FJ, Mintz ED.

Safe water, sanitation, hygiene, and a cholera vaccine.

Lancet, 2016; 387: 28. 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)01294-5
Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J.

Correction: The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study.

PLoS Med, 2016; 13: e1001989. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001989
Rashid MU, Almeida M, Azman AS, Lindsay BR, Sack DA, Colwell RR, Huq A, Morris JG Jr, Alam M, Stine OC.

Comparison of inferred relatedness based on multilocus variable-number tandem-repeat analysis and whole genome sequencing of Vibrio cholerae O1.

FEMS Microbiol Lett, 2016; 363: . 10.1093/femsle/fnw116
Shah M, Risher K, Berry SA, Dowdy DW.

The Epidemiologic and Economic Impact of Improving HIV Testing, Linkage, and Retention in Care in the United States.

Clin Infect Dis, 2016; 62: 220-9. 10.1093/cid/civ801
Shah M, Perry A, Risher K, Kapoor S, Grey J, Sharma A, Rosenberg ES, Del Rio C, Sullivan P, Dowdy DW.

Effect of the US National HIV/AIDS Strategy targets for improved HIV care engagement: a modelling study.

Lancet HIV, 2016; 3: e140-6. 10.1016/S2352-3018(16)00007-2
Lamers SL, Barbier A, Ratmann O, Fraser C, Rose R, Laeyendecker O, Grabowski M.

HIV-1 Sequence Data Coverage in Central East Africa from 1959-2013.

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses, 2016; 32(9): 904-908. 10.1089/AID.2016.0079
Salje H, Cauchemez S, Alera MT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, Lago CB, Villa D, Klungthong C, Tac-An IA, Fernandez S, Velasco JM, Roque VG Jr, Nisalak A, Macareo LR, Levy JW, Cummings D, Yoon IK.

Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 604-10. 10.1093/infdis/jiv470
Clapham HE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Azman AS, Althouse BM, Salje H, Gibbons RV, Rothman AL, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Kalayanarooj S, Nimmannitya S, Vaughn DW, Green S, Yoon IK, Cummings DA.

Dengue Virus DENV Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection.

J Infect Dis, 2016; 213: 1428-35. 10.1093/infdis/jiv759
Chadsuthi S, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Cummings DA.

The impact of rainfall and temperature on the spatial progression of cases during the chikungunya re-emergence in Thailand in 2008-2009.

Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 110: 125-33. 10.1093/trstmh/trv114
Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA; MERS-CoV Scenario and Modeling Working Group.

Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 657-63. 10.1093/aje/kwv452
Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA.

Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study.

Int J Epidemiol, 2016; : . 10.1093/ije/dyv353
Lessler J, Cummings DA.

Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health.

Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 415-22. 10.1093/aje/kww021
Guclu H, Read J, Vukotich CJ Jr, Galloway DD, Gao H, Rainey JJ, Uzicanin A, Zimmer SM, Cummings DA.

Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA.

PLoS One, 2016; 11: e0151139. 10.1371/journal.pone.0151139
Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK.

Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016; 94: 1342-7. 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0337

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