Impetus

The Improving Methods for Prediction of Epidemic Transmission Using Spatial Surveillance (impetus) study

Surveillance data from large and small spatial scales play an essential role in public health and scientific research, but these data are subject to missing observations, delays in reporting, and observation biases. The Improving Methods for Prediction of Epidemic Transmission Using Spatial Surveillance (impetus) study aims to develop and extend statistical and modeling methodologies to correct for biases in surveillance data, impute missing data, predict the course of epidemics, and appropriately characterize the uncertainty in estimates and predictions at relevant spatial scales.

Principal Investigator

Justin Lessler Associate Professor

Updates #impetus

2 years 11 months ago

The culmination of years of hard work from the #impetus project and a myriad of others! https://t.co/7Wlp8TnZQx
3 years 5 days ago

We are hiring a postdoc in ID Dynamics and Spatial Statistics. Come join a fun and collaborative group! https://t.co/STGGR8bUYb #impetus
3 years 4 months ago

Congrats to @hsalje on his new paper in Epidemics (w/@datcummings and @JustinLessler). https://t.co/fqNmbrtfvc #impetus
3 years 8 months ago

Nice job @reichlab and colleagues. #impetus https://t.co/sdaS3W2ebc

Resources

CRAN Package: IDSpatial Stats

The IDSpatialStats package implements various novel and standard clustering statistics and other analyses useful for understanding the spread of infectious disease.

GitHub Repository: IDSpatialStats

Source code collaboration site for IDSpatialStats package.

Funders

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease

Collaborators

University of Florida Emerging Pathogens Institute

University of Massachusetts Amherst

Thailand Ministry of Public Health

Publications

Case Study in Evaluating Time Series Prediction Models Using the Relative Mean Absolute Error.

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA.

Am Stat, 2016: 70(3): 285-292, 10.1080/00031305.2016.1148631

Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases.

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J.

Epidemics, 2016: 17: 10-18, 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.10.001

Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico.

Johansson MA, Reich NG, Hota A, Brownstein JS, Santillana M.

Scientific Reports , 2016: 6: 33707, 10.1038/srep33707

How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study.

Salje H, Lessler J, Kishor KP, Azman AS, Rahman MW, Rahman M, Cummings DAT, Gurley ES, Cauchemez S.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016: 10.1073/pnas.1611391113

Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand.

Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2016: 10: e0004761, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004761

Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918.

Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DAT.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016: 10.1073/pnas.1612838113

Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology.

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA.

PLoS One, 2016: 11: e0155249, 10.1371/journal.pone.0155249

Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics.

Clapham H, Cummings DA, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, Fernandez S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler J, Reiser J, Yoon IK.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2015: 9: e0004262, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004262

Infectious Disease Dynamics

Impetus

Impetus

Principal Investigator

Updates #impetus

Resources

Funders

Collaborators

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Impetus

Impetus

Principal Investigator

Updates #impetus

Resources

Funders

Collaborators

Publications

Pages