Impetus

The Improving Methods for Prediction of Epidemic Transmission Using Spatial Surveillance (impetus) study

Surveillance data from large and small spatial scales play an essential role in public health and scientific research, but these data are subject to missing observations, delays in reporting, and observation biases. The Improving Methods for Prediction of Epidemic Transmission Using Spatial Surveillance (impetus) study aims to develop and extend statistical and modeling methodologies to correct for biases in surveillance data, impute missing data, predict the course of epidemics, and appropriately characterize the uncertainty in estimates and predictions at relevant spatial scales.

Principal Investigator

Justin Lessler Associate Professor

Updates #impetus

2 years 4 months ago

The culmination of years of hard work from the #impetus project and a myriad of others! https://t.co/7Wlp8TnZQx
2 years 5 months ago

We are hiring a postdoc in ID Dynamics and Spatial Statistics. Come join a fun and collaborative group! https://t.co/STGGR8bUYb #impetus
2 years 10 months ago

Congrats to @hsalje on his new paper in Epidemics (w/@datcummings and @JustinLessler). https://t.co/fqNmbrtfvc #impetus
3 years 2 months ago

Nice job @reichlab and colleagues. #impetus https://t.co/sdaS3W2ebc

Resources

CRAN Package: IDSpatial Stats

The IDSpatialStats package implements various novel and standard clustering statistics and other analyses useful for understanding the spread of infectious disease.

GitHub Repository: IDSpatialStats

Source code collaboration site for IDSpatialStats package.

Funders

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease

Collaborators

University of Florida Emerging Pathogens Institute

University of Massachusetts Amherst

Thailand Ministry of Public Health

Publications

Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918.

Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DAT.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016: 10.1073/pnas.1612838113

Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology.

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA.

PLoS One, 2016: 11: e0155249, 10.1371/journal.pone.0155249

Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012.

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016: 94: 1342-7, 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0337

Dengue Virus DENV Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection.

Clapham HE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Azman AS, Althouse BM, Salje H, Gibbons RV, Rothman AL, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Kalayanarooj S, Nimmannitya S, Vaughn DW, Green S, Yoon IK, Cummings DA.

J Infect Dis, 2016: 213: 1428-35, 10.1093/infdis/jiv759

Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission.

Salje H, Cauchemez S, Alera MT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, Lago CB, Villa D, Klungthong C, Tac-An IA, Fernandez S, Velasco JM, Roque VG Jr, Nisalak A, Macareo LR, Levy JW, Cummings D, Yoon IK.

J Infect Dis, 2016: 213: 604-10, 10.1093/infdis/jiv470

Seasonal Distribution and Climatic Correlates of Dengue Disease in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Morales I, Salje H, Saha S, Gurley ES.

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2016: 94: 1359-61, 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0846

Case Study in Evaluating Time Series Prediction Models Using the Relative Mean Absolute Error.

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA.

Am Stat, 2016: 70(3): 285-292, 10.1080/00031305.2016.1148631

Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics.

Clapham H, Cummings DA, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, Fernandez S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler J, Reiser J, Yoon IK.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2015: 9: e0004262, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004262

Infectious Disease Dynamics

Impetus

Impetus

Principal Investigator

Updates #impetus

Resources

Funders

Collaborators

Publications

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Impetus

Impetus

Principal Investigator

Updates #impetus

Resources

Funders

Collaborators

Publications

Pages