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Emerging Diseases

The Johns Hopkins Infectious Disease Dynamics group has worked to provide dynamic modeling and just in time analyses in the response to emerging disease ranging from ZIKV, to Ebola, to MERS-CoV.

Updates #EID #zika #ebola #zikv

3 years 2 months ago

RT @uf_idd: Check out our latest preprint by @rkborchering and collaborators discussing #Dengue after #Zika… https://t.co/Tp8mk0CiXm
4 years 3 months ago

Analysis of the cost of active monitoring for #Ebola and other #EID from @reichlab, @JustinLessler, @neilvora_md, a… https://t.co/59goXe5QvO
4 years 3 months ago

Analysis of the cost of active monitoring for #Ebola and other #EID from @reichlab, @JustinLessler, @neilvora_md, a… https://t.co/59goXe5QvO
4 years 10 months ago

RT @JustinLessler: Honored to be in special issue of @sciencemagazine on #EID. Great articles from @mlipsitch, @GrahamMedley etc. https://t.co/qyvTAUJpd2
5 years 8 months ago

@JustinLessler quaoted in a @GlblCtzn article on the hunt for a #Zika vaccine. (even gets the last word). https://t.co/JcNkHIFBtV
5 years 8 months ago

RT @JustinLessler: New epidemiologic evidence of a link between GBS and #Zika from @pahowho and others in @NEJM: https://t.co/WfOuwEFgZa
5 years 8 months ago

RT @JustinLessler: Nice summary of #Zika science in @MiamiHerald w/ appearances by @datcummings, me and our @sciencemagazine review. https://t.co/Xkw7mNe6OC
5 years 9 months ago

@JustinLessler talking about #zika and El Nina in @NatGeo : https://t.co/ZUnQ7JBRxD
5 years 10 months ago

RT @JHIDDynamics: Also congrats to @leliachaisson @datcummings @QifangB and many others on this. #EID https://t.co/Wo8pNryLu5
5 years 10 months ago

RT @JHIDDynamics: Also congrats to our colleagues at @imperialcollege (and @JustinLessler) for the parallel policy forum #EID
5 years 10 months ago

Also congrats to our colleagues at @imperialcollege (and @JustinLessler) for the parallel policy forum #EID
5 years 10 months ago

Also congrats to @leliachaisson @datcummings @QifangB and many others on this. #EID https://t.co/Wo8pNryLu5

Resources

18 Aug 2016

Code and Data or Zika Literature Reivew

Code and data from our literature review estimating the time to key events in the natural history of Zika virus infection.

Publications

26 Nov 2019

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics

Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ,, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, , Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2019: 116(48): 24268-2427, 10.1073/pnas.1909865116

8 Mar 2019

Dengue after Zika: characterizing impacts of Zika emergence on endemic dengue transmission

Borchering RK, Huang A, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Rojas DP, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Martinez SD, King GD, Cinkovich SC, Lessler J, Cummings DAT

bioRxiv, 2019: 567537, 10.1101/567537

1 Jul 2019

Risk Factors for Household Vector Abundance Using Indoor CDC Light Traps in a High Malaria Transmission Area of Northern Zambia

Hast MA, Stevenson JC, Muleba M, Chaponda M, Kabuya JB, Mulenga M, Lessler J, Shields T, Moss WJ, Norris DE

Am J Trop Med Hyg, 2019: 101(1): 126-136, 10.4269/ajtmh.18-0875

7 May 2019

The impact of three years of targeted IRS with pirimiphos-methyl on malaria parasite prevalence in a high-transmission area of northern Zambia

Hast MA, Chaponda M, Muleba M, Kabuya JB, Lupiya J, Kobayashi T, Shields T, Lessler J, Mulenga M, Stevenson JC, Norris DE, Moss WJ

Am J Epidemiol, 2019: pii: kwz10, 10.1093/aje/kwz107

26 Aug 2019

Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks

Thompson RN, Stockwin JE, van Gaalen RD, Polonsky JA, Kamvar ZN, Demarsh PA, Dahlqwist E, Li S, Miguel E, Jombart T, Lessler J

Epidemics, 2019: 100356, 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100356

2 Sep 2019

A dynamic neural network model for predicting risk of Zika in real time

Akhtar M, Kraemer MUG, Gardner LM

BMC Med, 2019: 17(1): 171, 10.1186/s12916-019-1389-3

19 Sep 2018

A spatial regression model for the disaggregation of areal unit based data to high-resolution grids with application to vaccination coverage mapping

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Nilsen K, Takahashi S, Metcalf C, Lessler J, Tatem AJ

Stat Methods Med Res, 2018: 10.1177/0962280218797362

18 Jan 2018

Quantifying the Risk and Cost of Active Monitoring for Infectious Diseases

Reich NG, Lessler J, Varma JK, Vora NM

Sci Rep, 2018: 8(1): 1093, 10.1038/s41598-018-19406-x

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